Macondo in trouble

The rains last for four years, eleven months, and two days.

Gabriel Garcia Marquez. One Hundred Years of Solitude

What can we wait for extreme weather? For finding an answer, we need to combine data from various sources and develop appropriate models of our environment. Here we tuned a hydrological model for 314 UK catchments using the ERA5 climate reanalysis and gauged river flow time-series data, and then simulated a runoff response to different scenarios of four years, eleven months, and two days of rain.

Feel yourself Buendia family in the town of Macondo.